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Wednesday, September 26, 2012

Where to Find Our Daily Election Numbers

It's becoming an addictive habit for more and more people to visit our site every day at 1 p.m. ET for the latest numbers on the U.S. presidential election. Understandably so -- the race is close and we're interviewing more Americans than anyone else via surveys conducted every single night.

Here are the top ways to get those numbers every day:

You'll also want to sign up for news alerts and subscribe to Polling Matters to make sure you have all of Gallup's latest analyses on the race.

Stay tuned for updates on our switch to likely voters, coming in October. Learn more about Gallup Daily tracking here.

Monday, September 10, 2012

Get to Know Gallup's Jobs Numbers

The jobs report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics highlighted something we have been discussing for a while on -- that examining the unemployment rate alone does not paint a complete or accurate picture of a nation's employment situation or economic energy.

We know that the unemployment rate is distorted by fluctuations in the size of the workforce and further, that it has no relationship with GDP.

For that reason, Gallup has worked to develop alternate employment metrics -- metrics that focus on quantifying the percentage of people employed in full-time jobs -- that do have a relationship with GDP. 

Since January 2011, we have reported extensively on the percentage of workers in the U.S. and worldwide who are employed full time for an employer. We feel great about this metric because it is comparable in countries worldwide based on rigorous, representative national samples.

However, we also saw the limitations of any metric that is based on the workforce rather than the population.  As such, we decided -- well before last week's BLS report -- to launch a new metric called "Payroll to Population." This metric reports the percentage of the entire population that is employed full time for an employer. It will move when more of the population has solid full-time jobs, period -- regardless of the season or shifts in the size of the workforce. We're tracking it nightly in the U.S. and around the world in every single country where we survey. We hope it will become the new global standard that leaders use to track the true employment situation in their nations.

Here are some findings from our inaugural reports on this metric:

Going forward, we will report on the U.S. Payroll to Population employment rate each Friday coinciding with the Bureau of Labor Statistics report, including on the 2012 dates detailed below, at 8:30 a.m. ET:
  • Oct. 5
  • Nov. 2
  • Dec. 7
We will also provide new global numbers once a year after our annual data set is complete.

Additionally, you can always find the latest country-level figures on our economy and world sub-homepages.

To get each new Payroll to Population story delivered to your inbox as soon as it is published, sign up for Gallup news alerts and select All Gallup Headlines, Economy, or Good Jobs.

If you're a journalist who would like to learn more about this metric, please contact Lauren Kannry at 202-715-3050.

Wednesday, September 5, 2012

In the Queue for the DNC

Just as we did for the Republican Convention, Gallup's stories this week provide the empirical backdrop to what's happening on the stage at the Democratic Convention in Charlotte.

Here is some of what you can expect to see this week:

  • A look at new favorability ratings for the top DNC players: first lady Michelle Obama, former President Bill Clinton, Vice President Joe Biden, and President Barack Obama
  • A Gallup editors' review of Barack Obama's strengths and weaknesses as a candidate
  • Americans' views on Obama's and Mitt Romney's ideology
  • Americans' first reactions to the Democratic Convention and Obama's speech
Gallup Daily tracking after the Republican Convention found Romney and Obama still tied, 46% to 47%, among registered voters -- meaning Romney did not get a bounce from his convention. Our continued tracking will tell us if and how Obama's numbers move after his party's turn on center stage.

In the meantime, convention-watchers may be interested in these recent stories:
You can get more news and data about the presidential race on's Election 2012 page, at our U.S. Presidential Election Center, in Frank Newport's Polling Matters blog, and via our new and improved mobile apps.

Additionally, because this is the first week of the month and the week the U.S. government releases its job report, we are releasing economic updates on the U.S. and the world, including:
To get each new story as soon as it is published, be sure to sign up for Gallup news alerts.

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