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Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Wednesday Update on Gallup Polling Following Sandy

Gallup suspended its national daily tracking of the presidential election campaign as of Monday, Oct. 29 due to the ongoing effects of Superstorm Sandy. Gallup Editor-in-Chief Frank Newport discusses Gallup's decision here, along with forthcoming plans, in his blog Polling Matters.

Gallup is assessing its daily economic and wellbeing measures and will provide updates here as decisions are made.

Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Update on Gallup Polling Following Superstorm Sandy

Gallup will not conduct daily tracking surveys for a second night, Tuesday, Oct. 30, due to the ongoing effects of Superstorm Sandy and will continue to reassess the situation on a day-to-day basis. Gallup will provide an update on Wednesday about plans from that point forward.

Monday, October 29, 2012

Gallup Polling During Hurricane Sandy

This is a statement from Gallup Editor-in-Chief Frank Newport regarding Gallup polling and Gallup Daily tracking during Hurricane Sandy:

Gallup has suspended polling for its daily tracking as of Monday night and will reassess on a day-to-day basis. The ultimate effect on the overall picture of polling between now and this weekend, including election polling, will depend on what happens as a result of the storm, about which we will have a better understanding of on Tuesday and Wednesday of this week. 
Look for future updates here.

Tuesday, October 9, 2012

The 411 on Gallup's Likely Voter Numbers

Gallup's first "likely voters" results are out today, revealing a slight edge for Mitt Romney over Barack Obama, 49% to 47%, among the registered voters most likely to cast ballots for president.

Here's what you need to know:

  • We will publish new numbers each day at 1 p.m. ET until the election in a variety of places on our website and via our mobile apps. We also post the numbers on Facebook and Twitter.
  • Our estimates reflect a seven-day rolling average, identical to our registered voter figures, which we will also continue to report.
  • We will publish a story every Tuesday at 1 p.m. ET going forward, analyzing the likely voter data for the week prior. We will also publish stories whenever we see something noteworthy in the data.
  • We determine likely voters based on voters’ responses to a seven-question series that -- with some revisions along the way -- Gallup has used to calculate voters’ likelihood of voting since 1952.  
You can get each new story as soon as it is published by signing up for news alerts. You can also get additional insights and analysis from our election experts and Gallup Editor-in-Chief Frank Newport in his blog Polling Matters.

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